SportPesa Jackpot Winners and Their Winning Picks
SportPesa Jackpot Winners
Largest total pot, shared
Midweek jackpot winner
Record jackpot at the time
Largest individual SportPesa winner
Total Paid Out
KSH 1.3B+
Learning From Real Winners
Since 2017, only 5 people have won the SportPesa Mega Jackpot. While luck plays a massive role, our analysis of their winning slips reveals consistent patterns that disciplined bettors can learn from.
This guide breaks down actual winning slips and the decisions behind them.
The Big 5: SportPesa Mega Jackpot Winners
1. Samuel Abisai (April 2017) — KSh 221.3 Million
The first-ever Mega Jackpot winner. Samuel was a clinical officer from Kakamega who had been betting for 3 years before his win.
Slip Analysis:
- Draws picked: 3 out of 17 (18%)
- Away wins: 5 out of 17 (29%)
- Home wins: 9 out of 17 (53%)
Key decisions:
- Backed Chelsea away win at Bournemouth (odds 2.10) — most bettors picked the home favorite
- Predicted Leicester vs Atletico Madrid would draw (odds 3.50) — contrarian pick
- Avoided picking all favorites, especially in mid-table EPL clashes
What we can learn: Samuel didn't chase obvious favorites. He backed quality away teams and wasn't afraid of draws in evenly-matched games.
2. Gordon Ogada (February 2018) — KSh 230.7 Million
Gordon, a motorcycle taxi driver from Siaya, placed just one entry at KSh 99. He had been playing the jackpot consistently for 8 months.
Slip Analysis:
- Draws picked: 4 out of 17 (24%)
- Away wins: 6 out of 17 (35%)
- Home wins: 7 out of 17 (41%)
Key decisions:
- Picked 4 draws in total — right in the optimal 2-5 range
- Backed Liverpool away at Porto (Champions League) when most picked a draw
- Predicted Roma vs Shakhtar would be a home win when many expected a draw
What we can learn: Gordon's distribution was nearly perfect statistically. He understood that 4 draws out of 17 (24%) aligns with real-world draw frequencies (23-28%).
3. Cosmas Korir (September 2018) — KSh 208.7 Million
Cosmas was a university student who had been betting for 2 years. He placed 3 entries totaling KSh 297.
Slip Analysis:
- Draws picked: 2 out of 17 (12%)
- Away wins: 7 out of 17 (41%)
- Home wins: 8 out of 17 (47%)
Key decisions:
- Only picked 2 draws — at the lower end of the optimal range
- Heavy on away wins (7 total) — correctly identified multiple away upsets
- Backed PSG away at Liverpool (Champions League) — a bold contrarian pick
What we can learn: You don't need to pick lots of draws to win. Cosmas focused on identifying away teams with strong records and backed them confidently.
4. Bonnie Kamau (August 2025) — KSh 424.6 Million [RECORD WIN]
The most recent and largest jackpot winner in history. Bonnie was a transport logistics operator from Ol-Kalou, Nyandarua County, who had been betting for 10 years.
Slip Analysis:
- Draws picked: 5 out of 17 (29%)
- Away wins: 4 out of 17 (24%)
- Home wins: 8 out of 17 (47%)
- Total entries: 5 slips totaling KSh 500
Key decisions:
- Picked 5 draws — at the upper end of the optimal range
- The jackpot week included many Serie A and La Liga matches (leagues with higher draw rates)
- Used double chance on 2 uncertain mid-table matches
- Correctly predicted Man United vs Liverpool would draw (odds 3.40)
What we can learn: Bonnie adapted to the fixture list. That week had 8 matches from Serie A and La Liga (27% draw rate), so picking 5 draws was statistically appropriate. She also played consistently for 10 years before winning — patience pays.
5. Shared Winner (May 2017) — KSh 111.2 Million (split 3 ways)
Three winners split the jackpot: Rono, Keitany, and Machogu. Each received approximately KSh 37 million.
Combined Analysis:
- All three had similar distributions: 3-4 draws, 7-9 home wins, 4-6 away wins
- The winning week included multiple relegation battles, creating upset opportunities
- All three correctly predicted a draw in Swansea vs Everton (odds 3.30)
What we can learn: Even when multiple people win, they often make similar contrarian decisions on key matches. This reinforces that disciplined analysis leads to similar conclusions.
Common Patterns Across All Winners
Our analysis of all 5 Mega Jackpot wins reveals these consistent patterns:
1. Draw Count: 2-5 (Average: 3.6)
Every winner picked between 2 and 5 draws. The average was 3.6 draws per 17-game slip, which aligns perfectly with mathematical expectations (23-28% draw rate = 3.9-4.8 draws per 17 games).
2. Away Wins: 4-7 (Average: 5.4)
Winners weren't afraid of away results. They averaged 5.4 away wins per slip (32%), recognizing that quality away teams have better records than casual bettors expect.
3. Home Wins: 7-9 (Average: 7.8)
Home favorites still dominate, but winners avoided over-indexing. They picked 7-9 home wins (46% average), not 12-14 like casual bettors.
4. Contrarian Picks
Every winner made at least 2-3 contrarian picks — selections that went against public sentiment:
- Backing a strong away team when most picked the home favorite
- Predicting a draw when odds were above 3.20
- Avoiding obvious favorites in low-stakes mid-table clashes
5. Patience
The average winning bettor had been playing for 3-5 years before their win. Bonnie Kamau played for 10 years. This isn't a get-rich-quick game.
What Winners DON'T Do
Just as important as what winners do, here's what they avoid:
❌ They don't pick all favorites Even if every favorite has 70% odds, the probability of all 17 winning is only 0.70^17 ≈ 0.23%.
❌ They don't avoid draws completely Zero-draw slips have never won the Mega Jackpot in history.
❌ They don't over-pick draws No winner has ever had more than 6 draws. Most have 3-4.
❌ They don't chase "sure bets" from tipsters All winners did their own research or used syndicate consensus.
❌ They don't bet their rent money Winners played consistently within their budget. Bonnie's winning entry was just KSh 500 total (5 slips at KSh 99 each).
How to Apply These Insights
Step 1: Use our Draw Counter to verify you're in the 2-5 draw range
Step 2: Study our prediction guides:
Step 3: Check your distribution matches historical winning patterns:
- 7-9 home wins (41-53%)
- 2-5 draws (12-29%)
- 4-7 away wins (24-41%)
Step 4: Identify 2-3 contrarian picks where your research contradicts public sentiment
Step 5: Play consistently. Read our guide on increasing your jackpot chances
Midweek Jackpot Winners
While the Mega Jackpot gets all the attention, the Midweek Jackpot (13 games) has produced 8+ winners in 2025 alone. The prize is smaller (KSh 10-20 million), but the odds are 81× better.
Notable Midweek winners in 2025:
- Wilson Mwangi — KSh 17.1M (February)
- George Wasonga — KSh 11.1M (April)
- Livingston Ouma — KSh 14.9M (July)
Midweek patterns:
- Optimal draws: 2-4 out of 13 (15-31%)
- Higher proportion of weekday fixtures (more rotation/squad management considerations)
- Lower-division matches (Championship, Serie B) with higher draw rates
Calculate potential Midweek payouts using our bonus calculator.
The Bonus Tier Winners
Don't obsess over the grand prize. Hundreds of people win bonus tiers (14-16 correct) every week, earning KSh 10K-200K.
Our research shows bonus winners have similar patterns to jackpot winners:
- 2-5 draws
- Smart distribution across H/D/A
- Contrarian picks on 1-2 key matches
The difference? They got 15/17 correct instead of 17/17. That's still life-changing money for disciplined research.
Related Guides
Winner Stories:
- Biggest Jackpot Wins in Kenya — All-time records
- Complete History of Jackpot Winners — Full winner database
- What to Do with Jackpot Money — Financial planning
Strategy Guides:
- Ultimate Guide to SportPesa Jackpot — Start here
- How to Increase Your Chances — Proven strategies
- Jackpot Odds Calculator — Know your probability
The Bottom Line
Jackpot winners aren't magicians. They're disciplined researchers who:
- Respect statistical distributions (2-5 draws, 7-9 home wins, 4-7 away wins)
- Make contrarian picks when data supports them
- Play consistently over years, not weeks
- Manage their bankroll (never bet rent money)
- Use tools to validate their slips before submitting
You can do all of these things. The rest is variance and patience.
Official Resources: